2026/27 Hong Kong Pre-budget

Driving growth frontiers to unlock opportunities

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  • Insight
  • 15 minute read
  • January 2026

In line with the HKSAR Government’s vision to foster economic growth and innovation for the benefit of the people, PwC’s recommendations focus on four key pillars: advancing Hong Kong’s growth frontier, strengthening Hong Kong’s role as a global gateway, attracting and nurturing talent, and building a caring and inclusive society.

 

With the 2026/27 Hong Kong Budget announcement by Financial Secretary Paul Chan Mo-po scheduled for 25 February 2026, we present our forecasts and recommendations to the HKSAR Government. To harness Hong Kong’s diverse strengths, we have outlined a series of recommendations for the Government’s consideration in formulating its next budget. These recommendations are designed to unlock new opportunities and pave the way toward a more prosperous future. 


Predictions Our forecasts on Hong Kong’s fiscal situation

$0.2 bn

budget deficit is estimated for 2025/26

PwC expects the Government to record a HK$0.2 billion consolidated budget deficit for the fiscal year 2025/26.
$654.1 bn

fiscal reserves are estimated as at 31 March 2026

PwC estimates fiscal reserves of HK$654.1 billion as at 31 March 2026 – equivalent to approximately ten months of total government expenditure.

Actions Our recommendations

  • Further relax the criteria for research and development (R&D) tax deduction by allowing an enhanced deduction of 150% in respect of payments for outsourced R&D activities undertaken in the Greater Bay Area
  • Provide an enhanced tax deduction of 150% for enterprises investing in or deploying AI technologies to incentivise innovation and digital transformation
  • Prioritise the Northern Metropolis as a hub for AI, life sciences, the low‑altitude economy and advanced manufacturing, aligning land premiums and rent rates to balance immediate fiscal returns and long-term economic benefits
  • Establish a one-stop shop in Hong Kong that provides tailored, objective services to help talent register their self-developed intellectual property (IP)
  • Introduce targeted tax incentives such as half-rate tax concessions for global traders, encompassing not only traditional trading businesses, but also global e-commerce traders and service providers such as gaming companies
  • Provide stamp duty exemption to market intermediaries
  • Ensure tax neutrality on securitisation programmes to facilitate Hong Kong to become a securitisation centre
  • Foster closer collaboration between HKEx (or broader financial services distribution network in Hong Kong) and Middle East exchanges / financial markets to distribute Islamic financial products using Hong Kong as the trading platform
  • Offer tax and fiscal incentives to expand the variety of RMB-denominated financial products, such as:
    • providing tax exemptions for or a 50% reduction in the tax rate on interest income or gains from the disposal of RMB debt securities, and 
    • offering subsidies for the issuance costs of RMB-denominated financial products
  • Provide tax concessions for gold traders
  • Provide tax exemption / reduced tax rate on gains on investment in gold investment products (e.g. ETFs)
  • Accelerate the enactment of the proposed enhancements to the current maritime sector tax concessions and the new half-rate tax concession for commodity trading
  • Seek to further reduce withholding tax rate on aircraft lease rentals between the Chinese Mainland and Hong Kong
  • Introduce a half-rate tax concession for regional headquarters
  • Expedite the expansion of the tax treaty network and strengthen international collaboration, particularly with jurisdictions in ASEAN, Latin America and along the Belt and Road routes
  • Encourage more major sports events and entertainment performance to be held in Hong Kong by simplifying the tax filing process for non-resident sportsmen and entertainers
  • Further expand the classes of specified assets eligible for the tax concession for family-owned investment holding vehicles (FIHV) (e.g. fine arts and collectibles)
  • Align the qualifying investment lists under the New CIES and FIHV tax concession
  • Relax the investment cap of residential properties from HK$10m to HK$15m (i.e. same as non-residential properties) when determining the applicant’s investment value under the New CIES
  • Accelerate the granting of Hong Kong residency status to principals of eligible family offices and their immediate family members
  • Provide tax deductions to employers to encourage investment in upskilling and reskilling their workforce
  • Allow a more favourable unilateral tax relief in Hong Kong for taxes paid by individuals in tax treaty jurisdictions
  • Conduct regular reviews of talent admission schemes, with particular focus on refining qualifying criteria, to maintain relevance and competitiveness
  • Provide financial support to working parents through subsidies for daycare services and tax deductions for hiring domestic helpers and caretakers
  • Extend tax deductions for elderly residential care expenses to include those incurred in the Chinese Mainland
  • Establish a time-bound dedicated office to steward the Support Fund for Wang Fuk Court in Tai Po, coordinating transparent, flexible and fair support that addresses both the short- and long-term needs of affected families
  • To sustain operating surplus, exercise strict discipline over recurring expenditure, fully commit to the Reinforced Fiscal Consolidation Programme
  • Manage near-term capital deficit through strategic public debt raising, issue diversified bonds that fund major capitals projects while maintaining a low debt‑to‑GDP ratio 
  • Accelerate AI-enabled efficiency in public services, such as an AI efficacy enhancement program for FSTB’s internal operations focused on smart automation, intelligent research and analysis, and multimodal knowledge management

Insights Hear from our tax professionals

charles lee

Jeremy NgaiPwC China South Tax Leader:

“The Government originally forecast a consolidated deficit of HK$67 billion for 2025/26. PwC’s anticipation of a much smaller consolidated deficit of HK$0.2 billion, close to breakeven, demonstrates the Government’s commitment to securing Hong Kong’s economic future. By positioning Hong Kong as a global gateway, particularly to support Chinese Mainland enterprises’ outbound strategies, and by pritorising talent and investment attraction, the Government is unlocking opportunities and paving the way for a prosperous future.”

charles lee

Rex HoPwC Asia Pacific Financial Services Tax Leader:

“Hong Kong’s position as a leading hub for capital markets and asset management is vital for our economic future. Stamp duty exemption for market intermediaries and tax neutrality on securitisation programmes will promote growth and position Hong Kong as a leading centre for securitisation. Promoting the internationalisation of RMB through tax incentives for RMB-denominated products will diversify financial offerings, while tax concessions for gold traders and investors in gold investment products will solidify Hong Kong’s role as a gold trading centre. In addition, fostering collaboration between HKEx and Middle Eastern exchanges will position Hong Kong as a leading trading platform for Islamic financial products, opening new opportunities for the city’s financial sector.

charles lee

Agnes WongPwC China South Private Clients and Family Office Tax Leader:

“To solidify Hong Kong’s status as a leading international shipping centre, the Government should pair its stepped-up promotion of tax concessions with swift implementation of the enhanced maritime tax concessions, thereby strengthening competitiveness against jurisdictions such as Singapore, while also expediting the introduction of the proposed half-rate tax concessions for commodity trading we have long championed.”

“The Government’s initiatives are centred on transforming Hong Kong into a prime destination for family offices and high-net-worth individuals. To strengthen its appeal to global talent and investors, the New Capital Investment Entrant Scheme should raise the cap on residential property counted toward the investment threshold from HK$10 million to HK$15 million, aligning it with non-residential property. Accelerating Hong Kong residency status for principals of eligible family offices and their families, alongside streamlined visa applications and non-tax incentives, such as child education allowances and cash bonuses, will further support the Government’s goal of attracting and retaining both family office principals and professionals.”

“Support for working families includes subsidies for daycare services and tax deductions for hiring domestic helpers and caretakers. Extending tax deductions for elderly residential care to include costs incurred in the Chinese Mainland acknowledges the cross-boundary caregiving responsibilities faced by many families. Offering a 100% tax reduction for profits tax, salaries tax, and tax under personal assessment—subject to a cap—demonstrates our commitment to alleviating financial pressures.”

charles lee

Kenneth WongPwC Hong Kong Tax Controversy Services Leader:

“PwC recommends enhancing the existing R&D tax incentives to drive technological advances, particularly in respect of payments for outsourced R&D activities undertaken in the Greater Bay Area. A 150% enhanced tax deduction for enterprises investing in AI technologies can be transformative, encouraging innovation and digital transformation. Our vision extends to strengthening Hong Kong as an international trade centre, where targeted tax incentives for global traders, including e-commerce and gaming sectors, can reinforce our competitive advantage.”

“To bolster Hong Kong’s global status, we propose a half-rate tax concession for regional headquarters that engage in specific activities while maintaining adequate economic substance. Expanding Hong Kong’s tax treaty network and strengthening international collaboration with key jurisdictions across ASEAN, Latin America, and Belt and Road regions is essential. Leveraging Hong Kong’s role as a super-connector bridging the Chinese Mainland and global markets will unlock new opportunities and reinforce its position as a competitive international business centre.”

Hear from our other industry professionals

charles lee

Albert WongPwC Hong Kong Public Sector Consulting Partner

“Accelerating the Northern Metropolis as a dynamic hub for AI, life sciences, the low-altitude economy, and advanced manufacturing will ignite fresh growth engines and diversify revenue streams. The launch of Hung Shui Kiu Industry Park Company Limited – the inaugural ‘Park Company’ in the Northern Metropolis – offers a powerful catalyst to drive this vision forward. By strategically aligning land premiums and rental rates, the Government can strike the optimal balance between immediate fiscal returns and long-term economic benefits. In addition, the Government can consider exploring innovative risk-sharing models with tenants, such as revenue-sharing agreements that lower rents during the critical early stages, to stimulate private sector investment and foster sustainable growth.”

James lee

James Lee, PwC China Consulting AI Leader

“To advance the development of Hong Kong’s vibrant AI ecosystem, the Government should accelerate AI-enabled efficiency across public services through broader deployment of AI across government agencies. An AI efficacy enhancement programme for the Financial Services and the Treasury Bureau’s internal operations could focus on three core areas in smart automation, intelligent research and analysis assistant, and multimodal knowledge management. Wider adoption of AI across bureaux and departments would modernise public service delivery and underpin Hong Kong’s broader AI strategy in an innovation driven economy.”

Jackie yan

Jackie Yan, PwC China Economist

“With the operating account expected to return to surplus but structural pressures persisting, Hong Kong should maintain strict discipline over recurring expenditure and remain fully committed to the Reinforced Fiscal Consolidation Programme. To address a near term capital account deficit, prudent use of Hong Kong’s low government debt level to issue diversified bonds can fund major capital projects, with bond issuance serving not only to bridge the financing gap but also as a strategic lever to support long term growth and fiscal resilience.”


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Jeremy Ngai

South China and Hong Kong Tax Leader, China M&A Tax Leader, PwC Hong Kong

+[852] 2289 5616

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Rex Ho

Asia Pacific Financial Services Tax Leader, PwC Hong Kong

+[852] 2289 3026

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Agnes Wong

South Private Clients and Family Office Tax Leader, PwC Hong Kong

+[852] 2289 3816

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Kenneth Wong

Hong Kong Tax Controversy Services Leader, PwC Hong Kong

+[852] 2289 3822

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Loretta Fong

Sustainability Assurance Leader, PwC Hong Kong

+[852] 2289 1314

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Dennis Ho

Partner, PwC Hong Kong

+[852] 2289 2335

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Albert Wong

Partner, PwC Hong Kong

+[852] 2289 1807

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James Lee

Partner, PwC Hong Kong

+[852] 2289 8007

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Jackie Yan

Economist, PwC China

+[852] 2289 5460

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